- EUR/USD remains sideways around 1.0985, gaining 0.05% as markets turn cautious ahead of US PPI data.
- ECB Economic Bulletin revealed that the Eurozone’s inflation is still expected to be too high for too long.
- The US Core CPI fell to 4.7% from 4.8%, Initial Jobless claims totaled 248,000.
- Traders will closely watch July’s US Producer Price Index (PPI), UoM Consumer Confidence Survey.
The EUR/USD pair holds ground above the 1.0980 mark heading into the early European session on Friday. The major pair trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day after retreating from a weekly high of 1.1065 following US inflation data. Market participants prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Producer Price Index (PPI), due later in the American session.
The European Central Bank's (ECB) monthly Economic Bulletin revealed on Thursday that the Eurozone’s inflation is still predicted to be too high for too long, and the prospects for economic growth and inflation are still uncertain. According to the Reuters poll, the target inflation rate of 2.0% will not be reached until at least 2025, and more than 90% of economists surveyed anticipate no rate cuts before the second quarter of 2024.
On the US Dollar docket, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 3.2% YoY from 3% in June. The figure was below the market consensus of 3.3%. While the Core CPI figure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell to 4.7% from 4.8%. Additionally, the US Initial Jobless Claims increased to 248,000, above the expectation of 230,000. In response to the data, the US Dollar reversed its course and dragged the Euro lower on Thursday.
Apart from this, the Fed San Francisco President, Mary C. Daly, stated on Thursday that there is a lot more information to evaluate and that it is premature to project whether additional rate increases or a prolonged period of holding rates are required. This, in turn, caps the upside for the Euro and acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair.
Looking ahead, all eyes are on the highly anticipated US inflation data. The US Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released later in the day. The figure is expected to rise from 0.1% to 0.7% YoY. Also, the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Confidence Survey will be due on Friday. Traders anticipate that the data might convince the Federal Reserve (Fed) that it is now under control and no further interest rate increases are necessary. The data will be critical for determining a clear movement for the EUR/USD pair.